Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:29:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd3b…cea6
sports · 725 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,262 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,117 · open −$145
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$565
Realized−$2,117
Unrealized−$145
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses363 / 333
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$434
Open positions46
Markets (closed)696 / 725
History coverage76d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day40.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 46 History 696 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$22
14 days−$124
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ 55¢ $106 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 57¢ 46¢ $63 $51 −$12 (-20%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 85¢ 100¢ $32 $38 +$6 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 100¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+15%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Over 57¢ 67¢ $23 $27 +$4 (+18%)
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price Martina Capurro Taborda 82¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$4 (+22%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Cleveland Guardians 34¢ 36¢ $20 $22 +$1 (+7%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Yes 51¢ 50¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+10%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees No 48¢ 50¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+4%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ 38¢ $17 $12 −$4 (-27%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 62¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Under 52¢ 46¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 50¢ 44¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-10%)
ITF Brasilia: Pedro Rodrigues vs Alex Hernandez Alex Hernandez 73¢ 72¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Carolina Alves 67¢ 70¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Washington Nationals 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Under 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 67¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Under 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Over 63¢ 63¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Over 58¢ 60¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 51¢ 55¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Over 57¢ 55¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 78¢ 80¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Thunder vs. Celtics Jun 12 $37 −$52 -139%
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5 Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-28? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: Hawks (-13.5) Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5) Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Carrarese Calcio vs. UC Sampdoria end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Utah vs. Golden Knights Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-03-18? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $18 +$11 +58%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$14 +44%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma Jun 12 $71 +$4 +6%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $8 +$4 +57%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $117 +$3 +2%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $38 +$17 +44%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $18 +$12 +70%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$9 +79%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $14 +$7 +46%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $175 +$75 +43%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $41 +$49 +120%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $58 +$58 +99%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $111 −$6 -5%
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $7 +$7 +93%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $27 −$3 -10%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $7 +$8 +114%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $12 +$3 +29%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $28 +$2 +5%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $41 +$19 +48%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $10 +$5 +56%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu Jun 12 $42 +$3 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $39 +$6 +14%
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 12 $21 +$9 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$1,061
other 19% −$3,281
world 1% +$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 78¢ $4 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ $3 23m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ $6 23m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 52¢ $8 38m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 50¢ $3 48m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 52¢ $5 57m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 52¢ $3 57m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 64¢ $3 58m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 64¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 42¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 45¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 73¢ $4 1h
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 73¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 45¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 45¢ $2 1h
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) BUY Knicks 10¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -21.7% -29.1% 49% 40% -9.7%
≤30d 285 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 46% -9.1%
≤90d 696 -6.1% -15.0% 52% 47% -13.7%
all 696 -6.1% -15.0% 52% 47% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 47% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 42% -22.0%
15% -30.6% 35% -29.5%
20% -37.4% 28% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $565.33 · official $565.14 (match) · 3500 history records