Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:37:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd3c…1109
other · 59 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses13 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage278d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $32 −$1 -4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $56 −$3 -5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 10 $37 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 10 $34 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 09 $2 $0 -14%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 09 $32 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $49 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $35 $0 -0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $32 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 05 $35 $0 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $5 $0 -2%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? Jan 31 $34 $0 +0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025? Jan 31 $27 $0 +2%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? Dec 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Nov 26 $4 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 25 $4 $0 +0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? Nov 25 $4 $0 +0%
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $5 $0 -0%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? Nov 25 $11 $0 +0%
Buccaneers vs. Rams Nov 25 $8 +$3 +35%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? Nov 20 $25 $0 -0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Nov 20 $9 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 20 $17 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? Nov 20 $17 $0 +0%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22? Nov 19 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Nov 18 $5 $0 +1%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Nov 14 $36 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025? Sep 25 $27 $0 +0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? Sep 24 $13 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? Sep 24 $20 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 23 $7 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? Sep 23 $27 $0 -0%
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? Sep 23 $4 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 22 $14 $0 +0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Sep 22 $19 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 22 $14 $0 -1%
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 22 $24 $0 -1%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? Sep 22 $15 $0 +0%
Skye Valadez confirmed perp? Sep 21 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 21 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 21 $3 $0 -2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 21 $7 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 21 $1 $0 +3%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? Sep 19 $31 −$2 -6%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? Sep 16 $34 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 16 $14 $0 -3%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? Sep 16 $22 $0 -0%
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 16 $34 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 36% −$5
other 26% +$3
politics 18% $0
economics 5% −$2
finance 5% $0
sports 4% $0
crypto 4% $0
culture 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 81¢ $31 30m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 84¢ $32 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $32 25h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $32 26h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $16 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $13 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $3 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 33h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $28 33h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 41¢ $0 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 41¢ $32 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 41¢ $5 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY No 41¢ $37 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $34 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $34 3d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 3d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 30¢ $22 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 31¢ $14 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $25 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $8 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $10 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $22 4d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $1 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $37 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 93¢ $38 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -2.5% -11.8% 22% 0% -10.6%
≤30d 11 -2.1% -11.5% 18% 0% -10.5%
≤90d 13 -9.6% -18.2% 15% 0% -11.0%
all 59 -1.1% -10.5% 22% 3% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 3% -9.8%
10% -19.1% 3% -18.4%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 191 history records