Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd44…47c1
crypto · 2080 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$703 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$703 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$150
Realized−$703
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses689 / 1154
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1843 / 2080
History coverage22d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day146.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1843 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,398
7 days−$1,477
14 days−$1,213
30 days−$703
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $6 $20 +$14 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $8 $19 +$12 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 17¢ 100¢ $3 $18 +$15 (+488%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 9¢ 100¢ $1 $11 +$10 (+1011%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$6 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$4 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+281%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+157%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 15¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$4 (+567%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 5¢ 6¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$672
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1241 -27.2% -34.1% 30% 25% -39.1%
≤30d 1843 +4.3% -5.6% 37% 33% -20.4%
≤90d 1843 +4.3% -5.6% 37% 33% -20.4%
all 1843 +4.3% -5.6% 37% 33% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover146.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 33% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 29% -28.0%
15% -22.9% 26% -34.9%
20% -30.5% 23% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $149.51 · official $149.51 (match) · 3500 history records