Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:46:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd51…1041
sports · 160 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$12,572 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,973 · open −$144
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,413
Realized+$9,973
Unrealized−$144
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses84 / 72
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$3,524
Open positions4
Markets (closed)156 / 160
History coverage57d
Avg bet$2,484
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 4 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,937
7 days+$1,741
14 days+$9,969
30 days+$25,948
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $3,891 $3,860 −$31 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 71¢ 70¢ $3,079 $3,057 −$22 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? No 58¢ 56¢ $2,686 $2,633 −$53 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? No 49¢ 48¢ $1,901 $1,862 −$39 (-2%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $3,601 $0 −$3,601 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $1,882 $0 −$1,882 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $2,553 $0 −$2,553 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $279 $0 −$279 (-100%)
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? No 52¢ 0¢ $4,207 $0 −$4,207 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 25¢ 0¢ $3,300 $0 −$3,300 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $3,591 $0 −$3,591 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 55¢ 0¢ $4,163 $0 −$4,163 (-100%)
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $416 $0 −$416 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $2,158 $0 −$2,158 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? No 61¢ 0¢ $7,412 $0 −$7,412 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $1,089 $0 −$1,089 (-100%)
Wild vs. Avalanche Wild 36¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $799 $0 −$799 (-100%)
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $1,950 $0 −$1,950 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07? No 44¢ 0¢ $3,465 $0 −$3,465 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $859 $0 −$859 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 0¢ $1,097 $0 −$1,097 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02? No 56¢ 0¢ $5,020 $0 −$5,020 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $701 $0 −$701 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $942 +$305 +32%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1,519 +$1,060 +70%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1,141 +$1,022 +90%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1,758 +$964 +55%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 14 $2,172 +$1,443 +66%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1,727 +$684 +40%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $873 −$859 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,103 −$1,097 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $347 −$341 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,187 −$1,181 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $688 +$273 +40%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,029 +$315 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $1,696 +$1,441 +85%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,318 +$630 +48%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,805 +$1,976 +109%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 12 $460 −$453 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $453 −$445 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $805 −$799 -99%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 11 $620 −$610 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 11 $712 −$701 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $663 −$652 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $333 −$328 -98%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 10 $3,374 −$3,300 -98%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5 Jun 10 $1,052 +$1,106 +105%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $2,133 +$1,164 +55%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Jun 10 $1,214 +$1,276 +105%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $938 −$930 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $601 +$287 +48%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 08 $675 −$667 -99%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5 Jun 08 $426 −$420 -98%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 Jun 08 $437 −$431 -99%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $731 +$276 +38%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $439 +$480 +109%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $984 +$669 +68%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5 Jun 07 $423 −$416 -98%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 07 $1,064 +$660 +62%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $151 +$194 +129%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 06 $679 +$282 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1,700 +$2,109 +124%
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) Jun 05 $230 −$12 -5%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5 Jun 05 $269 −$265 -98%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5 Jun 05 $299 −$295 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $607 −$601 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 05 $283 −$279 -98%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $521 +$366 +70%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty Jun 04 $289 +$91 +31%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $458 +$183 +40%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,162 +$1,920 +165%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 03 $3,801 −$3,744 -98%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5 Jun 03 $2,916 −$2,873 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$11,200
other 36% −$5,201
world 1% +$3,830
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? BUY No 49¢ $11 31m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? BUY No 49¢ $1,919 31m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $80 48m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $3,026 48m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $92 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $3,830 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $21 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $2,699 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $4 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $1,137 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $9 14h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $864 14h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $942 15h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $14 18h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $1,505 18h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $39 18h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $1,718 18h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $20 21h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY No 59¢ $2,151 21h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $17 21h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $1,086 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $347 22h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $27 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $1,700 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $25 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1,162 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? BUY No 53¢ $10 38h
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? BUY No 53¢ $1,686 38h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $6 38h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $682 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -14.5% -22.6% 51% 51% -5.2%
≤30d 98 +6.9% -3.3% 56% 56% +3.0%
≤90d 156 +5.8% -4.3% 54% 54% -7.2%
all 156 +5.8% -4.3% 54% 54% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 54% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 53% -16.1%
15% -21.8% 51% -24.2%
20% -29.5% 45% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,412.67 · official $11,413.14 (match) · 351 history records