Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd5e…9040
sports · 403 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$128,496 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$139,520 · open +$11,954
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59,244
Realized−$139,520
Unrealized+$11,954
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses163 / 408
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$3,540
Open positions109
Markets (closed)571 / 403
History coverage4d
Avg bet$927
Trades / day892.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 109 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$157,921
7 days−$139,520
14 days−$139,520
30 days−$139,520
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $7,360 $15,992 +$8,632 (+117%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 54¢ 74¢ $9,800 $13,523 +$3,723 (+38%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $4,320 $4,260 −$60 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 95¢ $3,993 $3,968 −$25 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 80¢ 80¢ $3,328 $3,309 −$19 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 83¢ 82¢ $2,608 $2,592 −$16 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Wanted Goons 79¢ 100¢ $1,915 $2,427 +$511 (+27%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 22¢ 22¢ $1,664 $1,626 −$38 (-2%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 86¢ 85¢ $1,070 $1,057 −$12 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Under 46¢ 44¢ $810 $787 −$23 (-3%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 53¢ 54¢ $760 $768 +$8 (+1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Over 57¢ 55¢ $750 $718 −$32 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Over 56¢ 57¢ $652 $663 +$12 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $632 $626 −$6 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Over 65¢ 66¢ $573 $590 +$16 (+3%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 51¢ 48¢ $560 $522 −$37 (-7%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Ajla Tomljanovic 89¢ 90¢ $384 $391 +$6 (+2%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) New York Yankees 86¢ 86¢ $359 $359 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 76¢ 100¢ $263 $344 +$81 (+31%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 10¢ 10¢ $303 $322 +$20 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 70¢ $302 $304 +$2 (+1%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 36¢ 54¢ $184 $279 +$95 (+51%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $231 $229 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner F5 Esports 56¢ 100¢ $117 $210 +$93 (+79%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Under 25¢ 24¢ $211 $204 −$7 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Kalinina vs Marcinko Jun 13 $424 −$424 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-20.5) Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 13 $27 −$9 -32%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Was Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 13 $84 −$85 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 13 $1,394 −$1,391 -100%
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 13 $648 −$648 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Jun 13 $1,032 −$1,032 -100%
Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Thailand (-1.5) Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5 Jun 13 $903 −$903 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2,064 −$2,064 -100%
Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $234 −$234 -100%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $532 −$530 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 13 $62 −$104 -168%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 13 $2,951 −$2,951 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $1,850 −$1,850 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $14 −$20 -148%
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 13 $926 −$926 -100%
Etcheverry vs. Borges: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 13 $4,700 −$4,700 -100%
Spread: Lightning (-1.5) Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $659 −$659 -100%
Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$7,535
other 6% +$20,383
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 10¢ $1 4m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $2 4m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $46 4m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $32 4m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $54 5m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 84¢ $4 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $129 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 34¢ $48 7m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $7 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 48¢ $21 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 48¢ $47 7m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 50¢ $15 8m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $9 8m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $96 9m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 9m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 9m
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $23 10m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Under 45¢ $11 10m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Under 56¢ $27 10m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $192 10m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 48¢ $24 10m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 81¢ $7 10m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $15 10m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $4 10m
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $18 10m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 11m
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY No 68¢ $32 11m
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $7 11m
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $5 12m
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $9 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-37.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -31.1% -37.6% 29% 25% -37.3%
≤30d 571 -31.1% -37.6% 29% 25% -37.3%
≤90d 571 -31.1% -37.6% 29% 25% -37.3%
all 571 -31.1% -37.6% 29% 25% -37.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover892.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.6% 25% -37.3%
10% -43.6% 22% -43.3%
15% ← realistic here -49.1% 19% -48.8%
20% -54.0% 15% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59,244.38 · official $59,244.52 (match) · 3500 history records