Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd67…60ce crypto 323 markets active 16h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$185 (-5%) realized −$185 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -45% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -54% what you keep after slip
Net edge-54%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate45%146W / 177L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day8.6pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$93
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$100
other 11% −$92
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-50.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -35.2% -41.3% 41% 30% -24.5%
≤30d 64 -35.2% -41.3% 41% 30% -24.5%
≤90d 323 -44.7% -50.0% 45% 11% -13.4%
all 323 -44.7% -50.0% 45% 11% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -50.0% 11% -13.4%
10% -54.7% 8% -21.7%
15% -59.1% 7% -29.3%
20% -63.1% 2% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -45% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -27% → late -62% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses146 / 177
Open positions0
Markets (closed)323 / 323
History coverage56d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 323 Trades
no open positions (99 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $48 −$24 -49%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$7 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$7 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$6 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +49%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -62%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -57%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$1 -8%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -86%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +159%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -85%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -84%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -78%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -80%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -91%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -61%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +55%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $23 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $27 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $30 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $57 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $30 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 693 history records