Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd68…d9cf
crypto · 478 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses215 / 263
Open positions0
Markets (closed)478 / 478
History coverage8d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 478 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 35¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 34¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 -2.2% -11.5% 46% 46% -10.4%
≤30d 478 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -10.9%
≤90d 478 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -10.9%
all 478 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 45% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 45% -19.5%
15% -28.5% 45% -27.3%
20% -35.5% 45% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 693 history records