Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:24:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd79…bec6 crypto 117 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,923 (-16%) realized −$2,923 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate39%46W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$158per market
Trades / day60.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,303
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 32% -32.5%
≤30d 117 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 32% -32.5%
≤90d 117 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 32% -32.5%
all 117 -28.0% -34.8% 39% 32% -32.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 32% -32.5%
10% ← realistic here -41.1% 29% -39.0%
15% -46.7% 25% -44.9%
20% -52.0% 21% -50.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -33% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$114 vs −$134 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,923
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses46 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage5d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day60.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $143 −$139 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$47 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $76 +$25 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$102 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $138 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $136 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $129 −$125 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $73 +$79 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$8 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $156 +$78 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $157 −$50 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $156 −$50 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $206 −$50 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $128 −$123 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $205 +$93 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $113 −$108 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $111 −$106 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $207 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $116 −$111 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $105 +$192 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $207 +$90 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $170 −$38 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $27 +$121 +457%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $305 −$295 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $104 +$101 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $161 −$155 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $310 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $259 +$94 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $106 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $315 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $33 −$31 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $163 −$155 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $211 −$200 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $14 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $123 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 391 history records