Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd7b…c617
crypto · 294 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$153 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$153 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$153
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses110 / 183
Open positions1
Markets (closed)293 / 294
Avg bet$9
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$195
14 days−$164
30 days−$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$20 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$40 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$7 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$16 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$11 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$11 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$20 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $18 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $31 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $45 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -26.2% -33.2% 28% 28% -25.0%
≤30d 293 -13.8% -22.0% 38% 35% -15.1%
≤90d 293 -13.8% -22.0% 38% 35% -15.1%
all 293 -13.8% -22.0% 38% 35% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 35% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 33% -23.3%
15% -36.3% 28% -30.7%
20% -42.6% 24% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.44 · official $0.44 (match) · 886 history records