trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +60.8% | +45.5% | 75% | 50% | +44.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +60.8% | +45.5% | 75% | 50% | +44.6% |
| all | 24 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 62% | 8% | +7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 8% | +7.8% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 8% | -2.6% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 4% | -12.0% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 4% | -20.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 47¢ | 47¢ | $42 | $42 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $27 | +$58 | +212% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $44 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 23 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August | Jun 08 | $3 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 07 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? | Jun 06 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.10 in March? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 22 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 21 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 20 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February? | Mar 14 | $14 | $0 | +1% |