trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 12 | $200 | −$10 | -5% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 12 | $200 | −$7 | -3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20 | Jun 12 | $200 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 12 | $100 | −$51 | -51% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $102 | +$142 | +140% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$76 | +75% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 33% | 33% | +5.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 33% | 33% | +5.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 33% | 33% | +5.2% |
| all | 6 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 33% | 33% | +5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.6% | 33% | +5.2% |
| 10% | +2.8% | 33% | -4.9% |
| 15% | -7.2% | 33% | -14.1% |
| 20% | -16.3% | 33% | -22.5% |