Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdda5…9968
crypto · 705 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$805 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$805 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 705 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days−$452
14 days−$615
30 days−$615
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 38¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 13¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 21¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 41¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 40¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 26¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 11¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$23 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$14 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$34 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$76 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$36 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$60 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$27 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$37 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$27 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$15 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$40 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$25 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$26 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$19 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 +$22 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$805
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 507 -4.8% -13.9% 45% 42% -12.6%
≤30d 676 -6.3% -15.2% 45% 41% -12.4%
≤90d 705 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -12.7%
all 705 -6.3% -15.2% 44% 39% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 39% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 35% -21.1%
15% -30.7% 29% -28.7%
20% -37.5% 24% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records