Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb0…f95a
crypto · 551 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$14,937 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,809 · open +$129
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,486
Realized+$14,809
Unrealized+$129
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses344 / 202
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Open positions7
Markets (closed)546 / 551
Avg bet$292
Trades / day1581.0
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 546 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,808
7 days+$14,808
14 days+$14,808
30 days+$14,808
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $828 $900 +$72 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $805 $895 +$90 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $359 $464 +$105 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $387 $450 +$63 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $319 $450 +$131 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $427 $448 +$21 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 76¢ 56¢ $340 $254 −$86 (-25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $148 $243 +$95 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $212 $218 +$6 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $96 $103 +$7 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $53 $59 +$7 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-91%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$95 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $397 +$53 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $736 +$121 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $144 −$14 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $391 +$63 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $325 +$131 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $832 +$72 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$43 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $286 +$30 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $279 +$166 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$89 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $369 +$81 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $304 +$146 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $425 +$25 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $400 +$50 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $354 +$96 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $414 +$36 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $324 +$126 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $363 +$102 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $783 +$117 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $402 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$106 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $364 +$85 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $274 +$175 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $437 +$13 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $395 +$55 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $398 +$42 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $347 +$93 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,730 +$70 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $389 +$61 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,945
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $42 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $72 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $99 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $59 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $424 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $115 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $225 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $23 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $22 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $33 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $44 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $140 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $37 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $178 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $120 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $53 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $80 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $124 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $121 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $22 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $148 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $96 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 546 +20.1% +8.6% 63% 40% -2.1%
≤30d 546 +20.1% +8.6% 63% 40% -2.1%
≤90d 546 +20.1% +8.6% 63% 40% -2.1%
all 546 +20.1% +8.6% 63% 40% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1581.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.6% 40% -2.1%
10% ← realistic here -1.8% 21% -11.4%
15% -11.3% 11% -20.0%
20% -20.0% 6% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,486.05 · official $4,486.10 (match) · 3500 history records