Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:30:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddb6…b9b3
sports · 180 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55,338 -77%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49,498 · open −$5,832
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,389
Realized−$49,498
Unrealized−$5,832
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses95 / 479
Whale WR (big bets)19%
Est. fees paid−$1,022
Open positions24
Markets (closed)574 / 180
History coverage2d
Avg bet$397
Trades / day1662.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 24 History 574 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49,498
7 days−$49,498
14 days−$49,498
30 days−$49,498
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 57¢ 50¢ $1,581 $1,395 −$186 (-12%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 65¢ 68¢ $140 $146 +$6 (+4%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 42¢ 32¢ $131 $100 −$31 (-24%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Lotte Giants 50¢ 71¢ $69 $99 +$30 (+43%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Andreea Prisacariu 64¢ 42¢ $117 $76 −$41 (-35%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 75¢ 40¢ $132 $71 −$60 (-46%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 63¢ 68¢ $51 $55 +$4 (+9%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 49¢ 58¢ $42 $50 +$8 (+19%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 61¢ 100¢ $30 $50 +$19 (+63%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 65¢ 45¢ $66 $46 −$20 (-31%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 56¢ 80¢ $31 $44 +$13 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SPARTA 69¢ 72¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+4%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 73¢ 62¢ $36 $31 −$5 (-15%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 39¢ 55¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+41%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $26 $26 −$1 (-2%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 41¢ 50¢ $19 $23 +$4 (+22%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ 73¢ $17 $22 +$5 (+29%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner ex-MANA eSports 55¢ 60¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+8%)
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Minaur 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 54¢ 50¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-6%)
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Eva Bennemann 30¢ 18¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-40%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 29¢ 32¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+13%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 35¢ 30¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-14%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-27%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 45¢ 0¢ $3,926 $4 −$3,921 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 12 $1,581 −$194 -12%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 12 $930 −$914 -98%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 +$56 +1107%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $49 −$64 -131%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Euro Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Serie Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Will Modern SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC end in a draw? Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Seri Jun 12 $303 −$303 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Jun 12 $80 −$42 -52%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - BC Game Maste Jun 12 $208 −$21 -10%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1,193 −$1,023 -86%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yu Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League No Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group C Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $335 −$335 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Grou Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Jun 12 $495 −$438 -88%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $199 −$157 -79%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CD Palestino end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $1,460 −$1,285 -88%
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $150 −$179 -120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$7,448
other 1% +$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 98¢ $49 1m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 99¢ $9 1m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 99¢ $41 1m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 31¢ $16 3m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 66¢ $17 5m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 73¢ $37 5m
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 30¢ $15 6m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 62¢ $11 8m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 62¢ $11 8m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 37¢ $19 9m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 48¢ $7 10m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY SPARTA 69¢ $35 10m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 48¢ $12 10m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $17 11m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 74¢ $27 19m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 35¢ $18 21m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 35¢ $4 21m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 65¢ $3 24m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 82¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 55¢ $19 36m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 56¢ $28 39m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 56¢ $10 42m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 56¢ $18 42m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 34¢ $12 45m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 84¢ $9 51m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 84¢ $19 51m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 84¢ $10 51m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 39¢ $10 56m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 39¢ $10 56m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 72¢ $1 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 -31.5% -38.0% 17% 14% -49.4%
≤30d 574 -31.5% -38.0% 17% 14% -49.4%
≤90d 574 -31.5% -38.0% 17% 14% -49.4%
all 574 -31.5% -38.0% 17% 14% -49.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1662.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.0% 14% -49.4%
10% ← realistic here -44.0% 11% -54.2%
15% -49.4% 10% -58.6%
20% -54.3% 7% -62.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,388.79 · official $2,387.84 (match) · 3500 history records