Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddbb…fc6b
crypto · 817 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$183 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses658 / 159
Open positions1
Markets (closed)817 / 817
History coverage8d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day300.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 817 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$181
14 days−$183
30 days−$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$21 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$177
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 689 -1.8% -11.2% 80% 16% -10.9%
≤30d 817 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 17% -10.9%
≤90d 817 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 17% -10.9%
all 817 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 17% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover300.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 17% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 9% -19.4%
15% -27.0% 4% -27.2%
20% -34.2% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 3500 history records