Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:19:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xddbc…28c3 sports 1071 markets active 0h ago coverage 202d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 202d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,912 (+0%) realized +$1,912 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate78%871W / 246L
Whale WR90%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$387per market
Trades / day13.2pace
Fees−$513est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 202d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 87% +$1,439
other 11% −$1,631
crypto 1% +$231
world 0% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -87.3% -88.5% 9% 5% -76.0%
≤30d 102 -55.3% -59.6% 33% 25% -49.3%
≤90d 512 -15.7% -23.7% 71% 36% -11.5%
all 1117 -7.3% -16.1% 78% 34% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 34% -10.2%
10% -24.1% 15% -18.8%
15% -31.5% 8% -26.7%
20% -38.2% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 90% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$144 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

202d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,912
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses871 / 246
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$513
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1117 / 1071
History coverage202d ⚠
Avg bet$387
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1117 Trades
no open positions (204 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grizzlies vs. Suns Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18? Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08? Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek Jun 17 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02? Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Shelton Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? Jun 17 $250 −$250 -100%
Nordea Open: Cerundolo vs. Darderi Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs Australia (Game Semi F Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Casper Ruud Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
F1 Belgian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
ICC WWC: India vs. South Africa Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Hawks vs. Suns Jun 17 $245 −$327 -134%
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger- Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will France win on 2025-10-13? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05? Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31? Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Dodgers vs. Reds Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Francisco Cerundolo Jun 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05? Jun 17 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23? Jun 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munar Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24? Jun 17 $139 −$139 -100%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Kings vs. Nuggets Jun 17 $179 −$179 -100%
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Tallon Griekspoor Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
ICC WWC: Sri Lanka vs. Bangladesh Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17? Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will India win? Jun 17 $79 −$79 -100%
US Open: Karen Khachanov vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 17 $47 −$47 -100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazaux Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 17 $100 +$12 +12%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 17 $201 +$19 +10%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 17 $101 +$26 +26%
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Jun 17 $300 +$12 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $112 4m
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego BUY Ben Shelton 91¢ $201 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $101 2h
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $6 2h
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $306 2h
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 96¢ $300 2h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $100 8h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 42¢ $49 8h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 45¢ $49 8h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 36¢ $44 8h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 80¢ $101 9h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 90¢ $100 9h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 85¢ $100 9h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 82¢ $201 12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 13h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof BUY 100 Thieves 65¢ $92 23h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY illwill 88¢ $50 23h
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) BUY Zverev 88¢ $88 24h
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 88¢ $80 8d
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 49¢ $25 8d
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer BUY Ugo Humbert 83¢ $90 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 55¢ $42 11d
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 56¢ $53 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $1 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $49 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $3 11d
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 56¢ $3 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $9 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $9 11d
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 71¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records