Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddbd…bcb5
sports · 404 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,721 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,665 · open −$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,665
Unrealized−$112
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses150 / 252
Est. fees paid−$619
Open positions2
Markets (closed)402 / 404
History coverage36d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$257
14 days−$1,567
30 days−$3,042
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 41¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 11¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 60¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 16¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 2 Winner 5star 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 47¢ 0¢ $258 $0 −$258 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner Team Lynx 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 30¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Winthrop University 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage CYBERSHOKE Esports 22¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 21¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs InterActive Philippines 12¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $16 +$20 +122%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $69 −$68 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $71 +$71 +99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 +$30 +85%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$18 -90%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $43 +$42 +98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$29 +144%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $55 −$53 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $59 −$5 -8%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $40 −$40 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$14 +87%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $17 −$17 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $63 −$62 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $51 +$13 +25%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $119 −$117 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $35 +$34 +97%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $41 +$50 +122%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $31 +$66 +215%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $29 +$42 +143%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $24 −$24 -98%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The Inter Jun 10 $29 −$28 -97%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $68 −$66 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $71 −$3 -5%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $99 −$97 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $39 −$38 -98%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $22 −$22 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $217 +$167 +77%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $101 −$99 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 08 $80 −$78 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $46 −$45 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $62 +$84 +135%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $82 +$170 +207%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $21 −$20 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $63 +$40 +63%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$23 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,746
other 0% −$20
crypto 0% −$1
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 50¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 22¢ $16 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 11¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $69 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ $31 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 55¢ $66 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $31 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 75¢ $6 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 80¢ $91 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 34¢ $42 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $62 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $13 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $20 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $45 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $3 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 17¢ $32 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 22¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 24¢ $25 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 53¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 53¢ $62 6h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 NORD 2¢ $2 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 38¢ $40 7h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 22¢ $18 7h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 22¢ $20 7h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 28¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 28¢ $35 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 40¢ $85 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 17¢ $20 8h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $23 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 40¢ $50 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +17.3% +6.1% 41% 41% -18.2%
≤30d 323 +7.5% -2.7% 39% 38% -26.0%
≤90d 402 +9.0% -1.4% 37% 37% -26.8%
all 402 +9.0% -1.4% 37% 37% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 37% -26.8%
10% ← realistic here -10.9% 37% -33.8%
15% -19.5% 35% -40.2%
20% -27.4% 31% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.19 · official $0.19 (match) · 943 history records