Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddc1…c149
crypto · 779 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$21
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses404 / 378
Open positions0
Markets (closed)782 / 779
Avg bet$16
Trades / day337.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$95
7 days+$172
14 days+$47
30 days+$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+121%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+260%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+187%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+131%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+103%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1139%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+56.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 689 +83.7% +66.2% 54% 40% -7.5%
≤30d 782 +73.3% +56.8% 52% 37% -9.4%
≤90d 782 +73.3% +56.8% 52% 37% -9.4%
all 782 +73.3% +56.8% 52% 37% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover337.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +56.8% 37% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here +41.8% 30% -18.1%
15% +28.1% 23% -26.0%
20% +15.6% 20% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.37 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records