Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
DD 0xddc6…13c4 sports 136 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,080 (+3%) realized +$1,080 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%72W / 63L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$284per market
Trades / day11.3pace
Fees−$517est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,189
7 days+$464
14 days+$1,425
30 days+$1,201
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% +$1,530
other 3% −$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -2.8% -12.1% 57% 55% -6.1%
≤30d 135 +1.4% -8.3% 53% 53% -6.3%
≤90d 135 +1.4% -8.3% 53% 53% -6.3%
all 135 +1.4% -8.3% 53% 53% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 53% -6.3%
10% -17.1% 50% -15.2%
15% -25.1% 44% -23.4%
20% -32.4% 36% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$217 vs −$229 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,080
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses72 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$517
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 136
History coverage25d
Avg bet$284
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 135 Trades
no open positions (54 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 18 $353 +$198 +56%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $151 −$148 -98%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $101 +$50 +50%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $39 −$38 -98%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $504 −$147 -29%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $37 −$36 -97%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $601 +$51 +8%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $93 +$91 +98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $478 −$182 -38%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $339 −$333 -98%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 17 $100 −$83 -83%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $201 −$197 -98%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 17 $272 −$269 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $198 +$174 +88%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $253 −$249 -99%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $134 −$131 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $125 +$60 +48%
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Jun 16 $803 +$118 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $463 +$348 +75%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $298 +$465 +156%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $474 −$467 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $553 +$421 +76%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $274 +$276 +101%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $633 −$357 -56%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 15 $180 −$51 -28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $49 +$96 +194%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $805 +$182 +23%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $403 +$201 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $98 −$97 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,126 −$121 -11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $101 +$53 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $90 +$56 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $101 +$31 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $101 +$29 +29%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $101 −$72 -71%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $101 +$39 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $101 +$26 +26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $996 +$133 +13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $497 +$264 +53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $441 +$93 +21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $351 +$90 +26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $262 +$89 +34%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $499 −$489 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $348 +$600 +173%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $201 −$197 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $152 −$149 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $525 +$560 +107%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $598 −$587 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $450 +$846 +188%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $251 59m
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Vici Gaming 100¢ $551 1h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 63¢ $353 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 28¢ $49 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 39¢ $102 4h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Yakult Brothers 100¢ $152 4h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 66¢ $101 4h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 15¢ $39 6h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 55¢ $357 11h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $504 12h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Amaru Gaming 10¢ $37 18h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $652 19h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? SELL Yes 96¢ $184 19h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 48¢ $93 19h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 92¢ $601 20h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 47¢ $295 20h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 65¢ $98 20h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $380 22h
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Flame Team 48¢ $31 22h
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Flame Team 48¢ $203 22h
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Flame Team 48¢ $104 22h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group SELL Flame Team 5¢ $17 23h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Flame Team 28¢ $100 24h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Power Rangers 36¢ $99 24h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Power Rangers 39¢ $102 24h
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 65¢ $99 25h
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 66¢ $173 25h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 100¢ $372 29h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 55¢ $99 29h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 50¢ $98 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 284 history records