Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:27:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xddf2…1436 crypto 368 markets active 5d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (654 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$2,599 (+100%) realized +$2,599 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate44%161W / 207L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day654.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$316
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (654 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -11.1% -19.6% 44% 39% -20.1%
≤30d 368 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 38% -20.5%
≤90d 368 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 38% -20.5%
all 368 -11.4% -19.9% 44% 38% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover654.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 38% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 31% -28.1%
15% -34.5% 20% -35.1%
20% -41.0% 14% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$2,599
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses161 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day654.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 368 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +145%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$11 -40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$13 -48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +116%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.17 · official $7.17 (match) · 3500 history records