Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xddf3…b7b5
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$11 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$100 · open −$89
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$492
Realized+$100
Unrealized−$89
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$289
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$100
7 days+$100
14 days+$100
30 days+$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Under 64¢ 62¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 56¢ 86¢ $100 $153 +$53 (+53%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $120 $115 −$5 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 14¢ $112 $28 −$84 (-75%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $103 +$110 +107%
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $509 −$10 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% +$16
sports 28% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 56¢ $102 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 BUY Over 39¢ $123 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 BUY Under 64¢ $204 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $114 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $103 25h
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 80¢ $499 25h
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 79¢ $509 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+38.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +52.7% +38.2% 50% 50% +5.3%
≤30d 2 +52.7% +38.2% 50% 50% +5.3%
≤90d 2 +52.7% +38.2% 50% 50% +5.3%
all 2 +52.7% +38.2% 50% 50% +5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +38.2% 50% +5.3%
10% +25.0% 50% -4.8%
15% +12.9% 50% -14.0%
20% +1.8% 50% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $492.19 · official $492.19 (match) · 8 history records