Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde02…fdf3
crypto · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$62 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses82 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)148 / 148
History coverage5d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day94.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$62
14 days−$62
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$14 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$12 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$54 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$62
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -13.1% -21.4% 55% 42% -12.6%
≤30d 148 -13.1% -21.4% 55% 42% -12.6%
≤90d 148 -13.1% -21.4% 55% 42% -12.6%
all 148 -13.1% -21.4% 55% 42% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.4% 42% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 31% -21.0%
15% -35.8% 17% -28.6%
20% -42.1% 7% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 493 history records