Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:13:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde17…0988
crypto · 118 markets active 74d ago
0.0score
+$119,419 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$119,419 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$0
Realized+$119,419
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses132 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 118
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3,164
Trades / day3112.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$199,000
7 days−$199,000
14 days−$199,000
30 days−$199,000
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5? No 30¢ $575 $0 −$575 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? No 28¢ $953 $0 −$953 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2? No 78¢ $1,179 $0 −$1,179 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27? No $645 $0 −$645 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13? No $3,570 $0 −$3,570 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23? Yes $502 $0 −$502 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 4? Yes $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3? Yes $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23? Yes $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16? Yes 10¢ $946 $0 −$946 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20? Yes $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 4? No 28¢ $783 $0 −$783 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20? No 50¢ $17,613 $0 −$17,613 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23? Yes 21¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5? No 80¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8? No $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1? Yes 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3? No 42¢ $1,262 $0 −$1,262 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4? Yes 11¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2? Yes $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31? Yes 17¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1? Yes $1,933 $0 −$1,933 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 30? Yes 39¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2? Jun 12 $1,179 −$1,222 -104%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27? Jun 12 $645 +$3,246 +503%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13? Jun 12 $3,570 −$12,903 -361%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $502 +$1,995 +398%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $121 +$3,473 +2859%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16? Jun 12 $946 −$1,123 -119%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $210 −$61 -29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $17,613 −$35,394 -201%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $36 +$3,981 +10928%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8? Jun 12 $48 +$17,521 +36823%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27? Jun 12 $0 +$22 +25478%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $1,933 +$5,040 +261%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $1,125 −$1,125 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25? Jun 12 $6 +$2,596 +40552%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 5? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $5 +$647 +13061%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $32,291 −$64,804 -201%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $842 −$1,679 -199%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4? Jun 12 $1 +$1,231 +118946%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 16? Jun 12 $12,561 −$24,236 -193%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4? Jun 12 $15 +$8,894 +58537%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13? Jun 12 $8,314 −$23,622 -284%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22? Jun 12 $608 −$1,593 -262%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 26? Jun 12 $38 +$6,781 +17736%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $504 −$446 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24? Jun 12 $1,071 −$20,786 -1940%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4? Jun 12 $4 +$5,552 +144572%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $3,401 +$2,350 +69%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 17? Jun 12 $2,064 −$2,298 -111%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 11? Jun 12 $665 −$1,026 -154%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29? Jun 12 $1 +$4,756 +890749%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10? Jun 12 $971 +$3,512 +362%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17? Jun 12 $3,053 −$7,101 -233%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 12? Jun 12 $2,694 −$11,567 -429%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $72 −$67 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 24? Jun 12 $4,932 −$21,831 -443%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 8? Jun 12 $0 +$390 +160192%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10? Jun 12 $852 +$7,404 +869%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 25? Jun 12 $7 +$4,835 +71377%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 26? Jun 12 $64 +$38 +59%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 3? Jun 12 $66 +$1,091 +1659%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16? Jun 12 $29,359 −$59,149 -202%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$318,419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? BUY No 85¢ $1 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5? BUY No 82¢ $5 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5? BUY No 82¢ $5 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5? BUY No 82¢ $5 74d
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? BUY No 66¢ $34 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5? BUY No 88¢ $1 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 18¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 18¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 18¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 18¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5? BUY Yes 14¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? BUY No 78¢ $8 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1? BUY Yes 91¢ $0 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 68¢ $2 74d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+477.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +200.0% +171.4% 14% 14% +805.2%
≤30d 7 +200.0% +171.4% 14% 14% +805.2%
≤90d 186 +538.7% +477.9% 71% 60% +15.9%
all 186 +538.7% +477.9% 71% 60% +15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3112.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +477.9% 60% +15.9%
10% +422.6% 56% +4.8%
15% ← realistic here +372.1% 51% -5.3%
20% +325.8% 49% -14.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records