Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:45:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde1d…dfaa
sports · 122 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$2,451 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,297 · open +$213
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,892
Realized+$2,297
Unrealized+$213
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses91 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$240
Open positions6
Markets (closed)116 / 122
History coverage40d
Avg bet$953
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,582
7 days+$4,560
14 days+$4,560
30 days+$3,835
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 96¢ 100¢ $3,000 $3,109 +$109 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Vitality 99¢ 100¢ $1,342 $1,355 +$13 (+1%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Galions 98¢ 100¢ $1,200 $1,223 +$23 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner fnatic 29¢ 100¢ $50 $172 +$122 (+245%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs fnatic 22¢ 26¢ $26 $29 +$4 (+15%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 17¢ 1¢ $61 $2 −$59 (-96%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 34¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 83¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 92¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs 9z 57¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $3,001 +$27 +1%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,001 +$20 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,545 +$154 +10%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $24 −$24 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $4,916 +$597 +12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4,803 +$104 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,001 +$47 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4,701 +$41 +1%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $101 +$42 +42%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,789 +$913 +24%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $40 +$140 +351%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $252 +$13 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $793 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,501 +$22 +1%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,704 −$1,700 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $901 +$336 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,004 +$132 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,633 +$136 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,005 +$169 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,312 +$297 +13%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $1,101 +$27 +2%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $554 +$164 +30%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3,903 +$149 +4%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,522 −$20 -1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,214 +$546 +17%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,203 +$93 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,050 +$75 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,040 +$38 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,001 +$45 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,911 −$10 -0%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $1,101 +$23 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,421 +$21 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $58 +$23 +39%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $2,529 +$82 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,705 +$172 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,002 +$58 +3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $602 +$62 +10%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $202 +$92 +46%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,203 +$114 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,102 +$83 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,001 +$37 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,004 +$120 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,901 +$17 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,803 +$93 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$3,173
crypto 2% −$595
politics 0% −$59
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 96¢ $3,004 10m
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $3,028 10m
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 98¢ $1,201 32m
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $1,020 32m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 99¢ $1,342 38m
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 99¢ $3,001 42m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 18¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 29¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 29¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 29¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 26¢ $16 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 98¢ $1,001 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 99¢ $1,342 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $203 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 34¢ $24 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $5,513 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $802 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $4,012 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $101 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $4,907 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $10 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $2,101 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $2,702 6h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner SELL Alliance 100¢ $2,048 6h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance 98¢ $1,501 7h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance 95¢ $501 7h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $4,743 7h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $4,701 8h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 70¢ $101 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $4,702 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +1.6% -8.0% 85% 27% -5.0%
≤30d 66 +1.8% -7.9% 85% 29% -5.8%
≤90d 116 -5.0% -14.1% 78% 26% -7.5%
all 116 -5.0% -14.1% 78% 26% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 26% -7.5%
10% -22.3% 15% -16.4%
15% -29.8% 9% -24.5%
20% -36.7% 4% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,891.53 · official $5,891.53 (match) · 351 history records