Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde24…25a8
crypto · 110 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$3,761 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,638 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$217
Realized+$3,638
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses35 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)106 / 110
Avg bet$222
Trades / day36.6
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 4 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$105
14 days−$209
30 days−$438
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $79 $119 +$40 (+50%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $66 $55 −$11 (-17%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $38 $32 −$6 (-17%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $12 −$6 (-33%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? Jun 11 $1 $0 -5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $12 −$11 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 4? Jun 05 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 4? Jun 05 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $16 −$16 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $52 −$50 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $28 −$27 -94%
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? May 31 $2 −$2 -89%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? May 30 $15 −$9 -60%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? May 28 $98 −$63 -64%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? May 27 $42 −$21 -49%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? May 26 $32 +$13 +41%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? May 26 $30 −$15 -49%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? May 23 $207 −$115 -56%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? May 22 $19 +$2 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? May 20 $31 −$30 -97%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? May 05 $1 −$1 -71%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? May 05 $1 −$1 -56%
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? May 03 $2 −$1 -53%
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Apr 21 $1 $0 -37%
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? Apr 21 $2 −$1 -74%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December Apr 20 $1 $0 -31%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 19 $1 $0 -7%
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? Apr 19 $6 $0 +1%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Apr 18 $2 $0 -20%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Apr 17 $1 $0 -19%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? Apr 17 $1 $0 -36%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Apr 16 $2 −$1 -43%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Apr 13 $1 $0 -8%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Apr 13 $1 $0 +16%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? Apr 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Apr 12 $1 $0 +28%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Apr 12 $1 −$1 -54%
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels Apr 08 $1 $0 -36%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 07 $2 −$1 -37%
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 25? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29? Apr 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 1? Apr 07 $12 −$6 -52%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 26? Apr 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 25? Apr 07 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026? Apr 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22? Apr 07 $94 −$51 -54%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% +$5,291
economics 31% −$627
crypto 14% −$979
world 1% −$31
sports 0% +$5
finance 0% $0
tech 0% −$4
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 29m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 41m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $1 45m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 49m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -74.5% -76.9% 12% 0% -91.4%
≤30d 20 -65.6% -68.9% 15% 5% -67.4%
≤90d 102 -21.7% -29.1% 33% 26% +12.1%
all 106 -20.7% -28.3% 33% 26% +4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.3% 26% +4.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.2% 21% -5.5%
15% -41.4% 16% -14.6%
20% -47.2% 12% -23.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $217.32 · official $217.32 (match) · 3500 history records