Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde49…fe85
sports · 37 markets active 11h ago
0.0score
+$39,821 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39,821 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$39,821
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses24 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$3,481
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
Avg bet$7,021
Trades / day186.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71,619
7 days+$39,821
14 days+$39,821
30 days+$39,821
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $8,249 $0 −$8,249 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $8,248 $0 −$8,248 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $3,339 $0 −$3,339 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ 0¢ $7,800 $0 −$7,800 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 61¢ 0¢ $9,181 $0 −$9,181 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ 0¢ $7,650 $0 −$7,650 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets New York Mets 63¢ 0¢ $9,931 $0 −$9,931 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers 57¢ 0¢ $8,616 $0 −$8,616 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $3,231 $0 −$3,231 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $8,695 $0 −$8,695 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $826 $0 −$826 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $8,256 $0 −$8,256 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $9,553 +$5,447 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $9,288 −$9,181 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9,009 +$5,709 +63%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $8,295 −$8,249 -99%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $9,216 +$5,784 +63%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $4,706 +$4,136 +88%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $8,253 −$8,248 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $8,062 +$6,938 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7,763 +$4,237 +55%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 11 $7,125 +$4,875 +68%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $6,717 +$5,283 +79%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $3,384 −$3,339 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $5,984 +$6,016 +100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $6,452 +$5,647 +88%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $6,853 +$5,180 +76%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 10 $7,454 +$5,081 +68%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $6,866 +$5,134 +75%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $6,269 +$5,731 +91%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $6,248 +$5,752 +92%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $7,357 +$5,529 +75%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5,410 +$3,931 +73%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 10 $4,320 +$3,680 +85%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $8,454 +$6,546 +77%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $9,450 +$5,550 +59%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Jun 10 $3,223 +$2,777 +86%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $826 −$826 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $4,373 +$3,627 +83%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $7,762 +$7,238 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 10 $8,257 −$8,256 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $3,268 −$3,231 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $8,347 +$6,653 +80%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $7,998 −$2,638 -33%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 09 $8,726 −$8,616 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 09 $10,040 −$9,931 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $7,912 −$7,800 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 09 $8,805 −$8,695 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $7,762 −$7,650 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$39,821
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 61¢ $9,288 10h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $9,553 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $59 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3,816 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $10 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $6 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $8 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $329 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3,487 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $576 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 62¢ $2 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 62¢ $5,811 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 58¢ $138 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 58¢ $20 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 58¢ $135 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 58¢ $2,903 13h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $2 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $29 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $2 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $31 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $14 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $2 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $17 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +16.9% +5.8% 65% 65% +4.4%
≤30d 37 +16.9% +5.8% 65% 65% +4.4%
≤90d 37 +16.9% +5.8% 65% 65% +4.4%
all 37 +16.9% +5.8% 65% 65% +4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.8% 65% +4.4%
10% -4.3% 65% -5.6%
15% ← realistic here -13.6% 65% -14.7%
20% -22.0% 65% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 423 history records