trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 25 | -5.6% | -14.5% | 16% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $209 | $209 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $199 | $198 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $179 | $178 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $168 | $168 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $161 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 02 | $362 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 26 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 20 | $445 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 19 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $146 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $290 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 15 | $497 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 14 | $197 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 14 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 13 | $996 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 09 | $499 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | Jan 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Jan 09 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 25 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Oct 31 | $98 | $0 | -0% |