trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 50% | 50% | -5.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +18.3% | +7.0% | 78% | 33% | -7.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 71% | 29% | -14.8% |
| all | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 71% | 29% | -14.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.6% | 29% | -14.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.2% | 14% | -22.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 14% | -30.4% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 14% | -37.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Yes | 81¢ | 87¢ | $9,000 | $9,667 | +$667 (+7%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 84¢ | 76¢ | $7,475 | $6,812 | −$663 (-9%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 74¢ | 80¢ | $5,873 | $6,384 | +$511 (+9%) |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $2,778 | $2,805 | +$28 (+1%) |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 56¢ | $60 | $77 | +$17 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $22,609 | −$446 | -2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 15 | $9,111 | +$2,000 | +22% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 09 | $14,193 | +$1,362 | +10% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $7,232 | +$967 | +13% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $7,315 | −$5,740 | -78% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10,222 | +$889 | +9% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $4,842 | +$199 | +4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 29 | $5,014 | +$523 | +10% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $933 | +$1,289 | +138% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $7,197 | +$657 | +9% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 08 | $11,777 | +$1,320 | +11% |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 202 | May 03 | $8,574 | −$8,568 | -100% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 202 | May 01 | $4,700 | +$296 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 23 | $1,733 | −$1,600 | -92% |