Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde5a…7591
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$276 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$275 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses82 / 128
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)210 / 211
Avg bet$8
Trades / day118.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$299
7 days−$275
14 days−$275
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 53¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +110%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$245
sports 8% −$5
other 4% −$23
culture 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -19.2% -26.9% 39% 38% -24.2%
≤30d 210 -19.2% -26.9% 39% 38% -24.2%
≤90d 210 -19.2% -26.9% 39% 38% -24.2%
all 210 -19.2% -26.9% 39% 38% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 38% -24.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 38% -31.5%
15% -40.3% 37% -38.1%
20% -46.1% 37% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.63 · official $2.83 (match) · 469 history records