Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde68…5b6c
finance · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,467 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,398 · open −$325
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY finance specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$866
Realized+$1,398
Unrealized−$325
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3,918
Trades / day479.0
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,765
7 days+$1,398
14 days+$1,398
30 days+$1,398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Up 96¢ 98¢ $810 $824 +$14 (+2%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Down 20¢ 2¢ $367 $42 −$325 (-89%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Up 4¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Down 6¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4,926 −$33 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7,008 +$853 +12%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $3,833 +$250 +6%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $4,965 +$695 +14%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 10 $3,080 +$79 +3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $3,976 −$644 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $57 −$27 -48%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $1,699 +$226 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 100% +$1,101
crypto 0% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $9 0m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 5¢ $3 4m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $5 11m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $5 11m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $10 11m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $5 12m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $5 12m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 96¢ $5 12m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $5 12m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 97¢ $253 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 5¢ $5 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 96¢ $250 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $16 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $6 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 10¢ $10 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 8¢ $2 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 8¢ $1 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 90¢ $90 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 12¢ $6 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 12¢ $5 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $54 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 88¢ $88 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 87¢ $87 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $14 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 15¢ $15 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 83¢ $10 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 15¢ $12 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 86¢ $86 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 16¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+534.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
≤30d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
≤90d 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
all 8 +601.2% +534.5% 62% 38% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover479.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +534.5% 38% +0.5%
10% +473.7% 38% -9.1%
15% ← realistic here +418.3% 38% -17.9%
20% +367.5% 38% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $866.03 · official $866.03 (match) · 1935 history records