Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde74…0ef0
crypto · 1144 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$781 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,042 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,042
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1013 / 131
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1144 / 1144
History coverage94d
Avg bet$486
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$356
7 days+$180
14 days−$101
30 days−$1,096
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $827 $0 −$827 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $514 $0 −$514 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $583 $0 −$583 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $309 $0 −$309 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $659 +$26 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $469 +$70 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $478 +$104 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $481 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $463 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $326 +$28 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $409 +$23 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $408 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $369 +$36 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $344 +$24 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $335 +$9 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $329 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $288 +$26 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $269 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $273 +$19 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $269 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $223 +$32 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$12 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $84 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $185 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $126 +$45 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $130 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $129 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $97 +$31 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $217 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $134 +$88 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $119 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $113 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $40 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $19 +$21 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$12 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $92 −$91 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $290 −$290 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $273 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $262 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $260 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $253 +$7 +3%
XRP Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $245 +$7 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$968
world 2% +$72
other 0% +$22
weather 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $659 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $114 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $279 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $582 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $481 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +3.1% -6.7% 91% 26% -8.2%
≤30d 150 +1.0% -8.6% 90% 19% -11.7%
≤90d 971 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 23% -10.2%
all 1144 -0.8% -10.2% 89% 22% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 22% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 9% -18.0%
15% -26.6% 4% -25.9%
20% -33.8% 3% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records