trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $943 | −$983 | -104% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $11,715 | +$9,685 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $10,155 | +$11,565 | +114% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $2,986 | −$2,954 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $42,008 | −$41,446 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $2,062 | −$2,056 | -100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 29 | $342 | −$342 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $401 | −$393 | -98% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $26,248 | −$24,230 | -92% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 12 | $2,091 | −$2,091 | -100% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 10 | $850 | −$850 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $2,020 | −$2,020 | -100% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $3,133 | −$3,133 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 10 | $3,615 | −$3,615 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $386 | −$386 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 10 | $2,808 | −$2,808 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 10 | $2,181 | −$2,181 | -100% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 10 | $1,128 | −$1,128 | -100% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 10 | $2,149 | −$2,149 | -100% |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 10 | $1,762 | −$1,762 | -100% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 09 | $4,997 | +$2,173 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $7 | +$3 | +47% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $1,877 | +$1,848 | +98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $260 | +$65 | +25% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $1,640 | +$2,357 | +144% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Mar 28 | $769 | +$1,040 | +135% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 22 | $1,332 | −$176 | -13% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Mar 19 | $6,047 | −$111 | -2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +98.3% | +79.4% | 100% | 100% | +78.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -50.3% | -55.0% | 25% | 25% | -58.0% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 28% | 28% | -54.3% |
| all | 29 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 28% | 28% | -54.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -46.8% | 28% | -54.3% |
| 10% | -51.9% | 28% | -58.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -56.6% | 24% | -62.7% |
| 20% | -60.8% | 17% | -66.3% |