Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:31:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DE 0xde7e…564d crypto 173 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d
BOTnot copyable Fading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (150 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$194 (+2%) realized +$194 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate67%115W / 57L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$73per market
Trades / day149.7pace
Fees−$84est.
Kalshi-fit68%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$110
14 days+$93
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 41% +$105
crypto 35% +$2
sports 23% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (150 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +0.0% -9.5% 68% 12% -8.4%
≤30d 172 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 12% -8.7%
≤90d 172 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 12% -8.7%
all 172 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 12% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover149.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.2% 12% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -7.6% 8% -17.5%
15% -16.5% 5% -25.4%
20% -24.7% 3% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +27% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses115 / 57
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 173
History coverage20d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day149.7
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit68%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 172 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $45 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 27 $77 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $57 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 27 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $208 +$10 +5%
Operário Ferroviário EC vs. América FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $10 $0 -3%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 26 $187 +$7 +4%
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France? Jun 26 $96 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 26 $78 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $66 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $79 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $104 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $40 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $269 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $154 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $293 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $41 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $225 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $96 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $85 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $91 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $35 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $167 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $87 −$34 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $45 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $104 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$2 -23%
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany? Jun 25 $41 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany? Jun 25 $86 −$3 -3%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany? Jun 25 $87 −$1 -1%
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany? Jun 25 $23 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 25 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $104 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $76 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $120 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3054 history records