Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:43:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
DE 0xde88…cb05 crypto 1398 markets active 4d ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$168 (-5%) realized −$168 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate68%953W / 445L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day69.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$129
14 days−$90
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -32.9% -39.3% 34% 13% -31.2%
≤30d 690 -6.4% -15.3% 57% 29% -14.6%
≤90d 1398 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 20% -10.9%
all 1398 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 20% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 20% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 11% -19.4%
15% -28.5% 8% -27.2%
20% -35.5% 6% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses953 / 445
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1398 / 1398
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day69.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1398 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records