Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xde8e…d8e9
crypto · 186 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses94 / 81
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions11
Markets (closed)175 / 186
History coverage62d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 11 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 16? No 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-88%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-44%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-80%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05? No 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Flyers 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-02? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Ethan Quinn 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 31? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 +14%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $13 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 +109%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Jun 09 $0 $0 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $0 $0 +0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 08 $1 $0 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $0 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 9? Jun 07 $0 $0 +80%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $0 $0 +20%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 9? Jun 06 $0 $0 +60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 9? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 8? Jun 05 $0 $0 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $0 $0 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $0 $0 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 8? Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $0 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $0 $0 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 7? Jun 04 $0 $0 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $0 $0 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 7? Jun 04 $0 $0 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6? Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 7? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 03 $0 +$1 +2669%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6? Jun 03 $0 $0 +43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 03 $0 $0 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 7? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 6? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 5? Jun 02 $0 $0 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4? Jun 02 $0 $0 +43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 7? Jun 02 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 6? Jun 02 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 4? Jun 02 $0 $0 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $0 $0 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $0 $0 +400%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $0 $0 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $0 $0 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? May 31 $0 $0 +77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? May 31 $0 $0 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 2? May 30 $0 $0 -22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 2? May 29 $0 $0 +67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 1? May 29 $0 $0 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$17
politics 20% +$3
crypto 8% −$4
other 8% $0
world 5% −$2
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? SELL No 0¢ $0 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 16? BUY No 0¢ $0 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? BUY No 0¢ $0 12h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 4¢ $0 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? SELL No 0¢ $0 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 29h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $0 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 37h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $0 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? SELL No 1¢ $0 37h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 5¢ $0 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 40h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 47h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +16.4% +5.3% 59% 59% -10.2%
≤30d 78 +51.0% +36.7% 51% 51% -5.8%
≤90d 175 +10.3% -0.2% 54% 34% -18.7%
all 175 +10.3% -0.2% 54% 34% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.2% 34% -18.7%
10% -9.7% 25% -26.5%
15% -18.5% 20% -33.6%
20% -26.4% 14% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.13 · official $0.13 (match) · 559 history records