trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +46% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +38% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -64% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -83% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 50% | 50% | -15.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 50% | 50% | -15.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 50% | 50% | -15.7% |
| all | 9 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 56% | 56% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 56% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -31.4% | 44% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 33% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -44.1% | 11% | -35.3% |