Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:19:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdea3…293b
crypto · 858 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$538 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$543 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized+$543
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses414 / 442
Open positions1
Markets (closed)856 / 858
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day762.4
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 856 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$328
7 days+$543
14 days+$543
30 days+$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 42¢ 52¢ $25 $31 +$6 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 56¢ 48¢ $34 $29 −$5 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$21 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$12 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$12 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$19 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$19 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$19 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$27 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$10 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$538
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $24 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $27 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $24 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 856 -2.7% -11.9% 48% 44% -7.0%
≤30d 856 -2.7% -11.9% 48% 44% -7.0%
≤90d 856 -2.7% -11.9% 48% 44% -7.0%
all 856 -2.7% -11.9% 48% 44% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover762.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 44% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 39% -15.9%
15% -28.0% 33% -24.0%
20% -35.1% 26% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.22 · official $60.17 (match) · 3500 history records