Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdea4…e7bd
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses15 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +153%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +167%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$43 +441%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +113%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $405? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -79%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$6 +122%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $2 −$2 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$2
sports 5% +$10
tech 4% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $4 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $10 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $11 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -17.2% -25.1% 38% 35% -7.1%
≤30d 40 -17.2% -25.1% 38% 35% -7.1%
≤90d 40 -17.2% -25.1% 38% 35% -7.1%
all 40 -17.2% -25.1% 38% 35% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.1% 35% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 35% -16.0%
15% -38.8% 35% -24.1%
20% -44.8% 32% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.04 (match) · 112 history records