trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 20% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 22% | 11% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 22% | 11% | -8.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 35% | 8% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 8% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 4% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $47 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -21% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $8 | +$3 | +40% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $44 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July? | Jun 26 | $24 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Jun 02 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the elec | Jun 01 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 31 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 30 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on May 30? | May 30 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Solana Up or Down in May? | May 30 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in May? | May 29 | $2 | −$1 | -58% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 28 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on May 27? | May 28 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions? | May 27 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June? | May 27 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June? | May 26 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 25 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 18 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair? | May 15 | $25 | $0 | -0% |