Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DE
0xdebb…eedb
other · 943 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$28,195 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28,521 · open −$304
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74,806
Realized+$28,521
Unrealized−$304
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses464 / 200
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$801
Open positions280
Markets (closed)664 / 943
History coverage33d
Avg bet$479
Trades / day80.5
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit34%
Chart Positions 280 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,168
7 days−$16,218
14 days+$8,494
30 days+$31,689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 89¢ 90¢ $8,740 $8,911 +$171 (+2%)
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 73¢ 72¢ $5,015 $4,996 −$19 (-0%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 92¢ $4,302 $4,376 +$74 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Under 97¢ 98¢ $2,948 $2,995 +$48 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 89¢ 90¢ $1,605 $1,625 +$20 (+1%)
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 86¢ $1,567 $1,611 +$44 (+3%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 95¢ 99¢ $1,512 $1,574 +$62 (+4%)
John McGinn: 3+ goals No 98¢ 99¢ $1,423 $1,439 +$16 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 88¢ 89¢ $1,418 $1,427 +$9 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 84¢ 85¢ $1,216 $1,235 +$19 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 85¢ 86¢ $1,064 $1,070 +$6 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 84¢ 86¢ $1,000 $1,012 +$12 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 86¢ $955 $974 +$18 (+2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 97¢ $832 $839 +$8 (+1%)
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $791 $829 +$38 (+5%)
Federico Valverde: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $728 $732 +$4 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 93¢ 94¢ $672 $676 +$4 (+1%)
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goals No 96¢ 98¢ $664 $671 +$8 (+1%)
Martin Ødegaard: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $672 $670 −$2 (-0%)
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $662 $659 −$3 (-0%)
Ross Stewart: 3+ goals No 97¢ 98¢ $645 $649 +$4 (+1%)
Enner Valencia: 3+ goals No 97¢ 97¢ $605 $603 −$3 (-0%)
Findlay Curtis: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $561 $564 +$3 (+0%)
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia? No 98¢ 98¢ $561 $559 −$1 (-0%)
Nicolás de la Cruz: 3+ goals No 97¢ 98¢ $519 $521 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $13 −$2 -17%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $87 +$11 +13%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $184 +$36 +20%
Tomáš Chorý: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $58 +$3 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $101 +$46 +46%
Spread: Bolivia (-1.5) Jun 11 $67 +$3 +4%
Armando González: 1+ goals Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
England leading at halftime? Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Algeria (-2.5) Jun 11 $206 −$206 -100%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $787 −$787 -100%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $462 −$88 -19%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $1,045 +$41 +4%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1,523 +$183 +12%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3,921 +$286 +7%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals Jun 11 $407 +$1,125 +276%
Edson Álvarez: 2+ goals Jun 11 $74 +$1 +2%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $261 +$63 +24%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals Jun 11 $48 +$2 +5%
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $81 +$2 +2%
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $104 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $334 +$4 +1%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 11 $325 +$605 +186%
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $329 +$3 +1%
Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5) Jun 10 $72 +$2 +3%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $25 +$34 +140%
Spread: Costa Rica (-2.5) Jun 10 $78 +$2 +2%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Nigeria? Jun 10 $207 +$3 +2%
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $59 +$3 +5%
Spread: Nigeria (-2.5) Jun 10 $69 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 2 Chile? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Iceland? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $74 −$74 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 0 Chile? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $37 −$22 -61%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland? Jun 10 $167 −$167 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $275 −$275 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $577 −$577 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $2,183 −$2,183 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $357 −$357 -100%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 10 $62 +$3 +5%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $299 +$61 +21%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Iceland? Jun 10 $102 +$10 +10%
Spread: Iceland (-2.5) Jun 10 $69 +$1 +2%
Spread: Iceland (-1.5) Jun 10 $115 +$4 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$16,852
sports 23% +$7,755
politics 1% +$3,551
crypto 0% +$51
world 0% +$17
finance 0% +$3
culture 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $510 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 88¢ $93 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 88¢ $58 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $221 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $443 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $163 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $190 2h
Tajon Buchanan: 2+ goals BUY No 97¢ $51 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $240 2h
Rayan Elloumi: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $49 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 88¢ $26 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $357 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $893 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $241 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $817 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY No 92¢ $55 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $635 3h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $351 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 88¢ $53 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $446 3h
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 79¢ $83 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $754 3h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 89¢ $63 3h
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 79¢ $40 3h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $529 4h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 83¢ $116 4h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $75 4h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $1,069 4h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $74 4h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 88¢ $235 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -3.1% -12.4% 72% 26% -30.7%
≤30d 628 +7.9% -2.4% 71% 33% -2.6%
≤90d 664 +6.0% -4.1% 70% 32% -3.6%
all 664 +6.0% -4.1% 70% 32% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 32% -3.6%
10% -13.2% 23% -12.8%
15% ← realistic here -21.6% 18% -21.2%
20% -29.3% 13% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74,806.30 · official $74,805.06 (match) · 3500 history records