Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:44:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DE 0xdee3…6fe5 sports 499 markets active 1h ago coverage 59d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 59d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$101,578 (-14%) realized −$101,691 · open +$113
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate42%210W / 285L
Whale WR52%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,415per market
Trades / day54.1pace
Fees−$5,357est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$2,589now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,364
7 days−$21,602
14 days−$46,938
30 days−$48,477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 64% −$74,433
other 33% +$3,120
crypto 3% −$18,037
world 0% −$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +12.2% +1.6% 47% 39% -23.0%
≤30d 227 -26.3% -33.3% 37% 34% -19.9%
≤90d 495 -20.3% -27.9% 42% 40% -21.2%
all 495 -20.3% -27.9% 42% 40% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 40% -21.2%
10% -34.8% 36% -28.7%
15% ← realistic here -41.1% 29% -35.6%
20% -46.9% 23% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 52% (≥$1,420) neutral
Persistence
early -13% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,081 vs −$1,112 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$2,589
Realized−$101,691
Unrealized+$113
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses210 / 285
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$5,357
Open positions3
Markets (closed)495 / 499
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$1,415
Trades / day54.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 495 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 32¢ 20¢ $1,862 $1,206 −$657 (-35%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 69¢ 80¢ $682 $785 +$104 (+15%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 34¢ 34¢ $580 $590 +$10 (+2%)
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) Kevin Borjas 19¢ 18¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 223 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $461 −$448 -97%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage Jun 15 $223 +$177 +79%
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League S Jun 15 $329 +$122 +37%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $501 −$487 -97%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $1,040 +$593 +57%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $32 −$31 -98%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 15 $5,628 +$752 +13%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 15 $19 −$18 -97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $912 −$188 -21%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $314 −$310 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $3,240 −$3,203 -99%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $294 +$38 +13%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 15 $6,136 +$782 +13%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 15 $5,579 +$3,921 +70%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $101 +$87 +86%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 14 $5,887 +$1,428 +24%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $253 +$151 +60%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $5,423 +$2,529 +47%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $400 −$400 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $2,815 +$4,272 +152%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $235 −$230 -98%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $208 +$54 +26%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $7,280 −$1,687 -23%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $239 −$236 -99%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $3,537 −$3,493 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$134 +134%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $7,888 −$2,232 -28%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $574 −$569 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $9,254 +$746 +8%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 12 $130 −$127 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $453 +$44 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $12,039 −$11,873 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,994 −$1,965 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12,422 +$6,780 +55%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4,421 +$706 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $16,336 +$4,462 +27%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $295 +$70 +24%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $244 −$237 -97%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $529 −$523 -99%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $195 −$190 -97%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $11 −$10 -97%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5,606 +$1,022 +18%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $18,514 −$18,300 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $103 +$10 +10%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $284 +$21 +7%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $229 −$224 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $3,285 −$3,237 -98%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $289 −$281 -97%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $3,319 +$1,074 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $2 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $18 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $5 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $3 1h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Leviatán Esports 69¢ $19 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $56 1h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Leviatán Esports 69¢ $146 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $28 2h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 35¢ $163 2h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Leviatán Esports 69¢ $522 2h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $42 2h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL XLG Gaming 31¢ $1,463 3h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $275 3h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $2,286 6h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $159 7h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $1,013 8h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $155 14h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $154 14h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $68 14h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $49 14h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $14 15h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $21 15h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $107 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $3 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $51 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $77 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $92 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $36 16h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $20 17h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $9 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,589.26 · official $2,589.43 (match) · 3500 history records