trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 20% | 0% | -34.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 38% | 12% | -23.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 50% | 30% | -21.1% |
| all | 10 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 50% | 30% | -21.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 30% | -21.1% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 20% | -28.6% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 10% | -35.5% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 10% | -41.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $63 | +$13 (+26%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $54 | $49 | −$4 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | Jun 12 | $699 | −$696 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $1,473 | −$30 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $3,756 | −$1,383 | -37% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $801 | −$133 | -17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $2,910 | +$27 | +1% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7? | Jun 07 | $85 | −$41 | -48% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 29 | $1,177 | +$30 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $612 | +$698 | +114% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 04 | $359 | +$91 | +25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 04 | $454 | +$81 | +18% |