Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf08…d24a
crypto · 186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36,489 -193%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,875 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,875
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses78 / 553
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 186
History coverage3d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day1088.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,216
7 days−$14,875
14 days−$14,875
30 days−$14,875
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$19 -553%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$48 -958%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $111 −$137 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$48 -2421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$34 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$81 -266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$37 -162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$29 -213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$100 -171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$19 -1494%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$60 -159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$30 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,004
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $38 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $9 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-46.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 631 -40.7% -46.4% 12% 9% -49.9%
≤30d 631 -40.7% -46.4% 12% 9% -49.9%
≤90d 631 -40.7% -46.4% 12% 9% -49.9%
all 631 -40.7% -46.4% 12% 9% -49.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1088.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.4% 9% -49.9%
10% ← realistic here -51.5% 8% -54.7%
15% -56.2% 6% -59.1%
20% -60.5% 5% -63.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records