Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T09:13:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DF 0xdf0d…9f79 crypto 641 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$105,184 (+21%) realized +$106,940 · open −$1,756
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%634W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$774per market
Trades / day67.6pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit74%portable
Net worth$1,758now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 40d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% +$2,719
sports 26% +$128
other 3% +$142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.4%
≤30d 219 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 634 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
all 634 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 0% -8.6%
10% -16.6% 0% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here -24.7% 0% -25.4%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$970) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$1,758
Realized+$106,940
Unrealized−$1,756
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses634 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions7
Markets (closed)634 / 641
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$774
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit74%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 634 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $1,980 $990 −$990 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $1,192 $596 −$596 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $194 $97 −$97 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $105 $54 −$52 (-49%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4AM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $26 $13 −$13 (-49%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $9 $4 −$4 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $2,460 +$40 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $348 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $60 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $79 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $39 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $63 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $236 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $316 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 22 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $2,122 +$20 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $577 +$5 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $1,979 +$21 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $203 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $1,589 +$17 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $457 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $655 +$6 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $355 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $53 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $372 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $2,477 +$23 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $1,980 +$20 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $48 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $1,255 +$13 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $990 +$10 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $243 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $160 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 22 $1,108 +$10 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $21 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $187 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $368 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $642 +$6 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $93 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $84 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $315 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 22 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $119 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $195 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,965 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $471 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,758.23 · official $1,758.23 (match) · 3500 history records