trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -22.5% | -29.9% | 50% | 50% | -49.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 75% | 44% | -32.0% |
| all | 22 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 82% | 32% | -29.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 32% | -29.9% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 27% | -36.6% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 18% | -42.8% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 9% | -48.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Uruguay | 66¢ | 66¢ | $128 | $129 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $190 | −$186 | -98% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $55 | +$44 | +79% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 06 | $124 | +$38 | +31% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $98 | −$97 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A | May 22 | $132 | +$50 | +38% |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | May 14 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 14 | $11 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | May 14 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 13? | May 14 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | May 14 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 14 | $23 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | May 14 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 14 | $37 | +$18 | +48% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 14 | $65 | +$18 | +27% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $83 | +$54 | +65% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 18 | $70 | −$68 | -98% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Feb 04 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Tesla reach $645 in January? | Feb 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $600 before 2026?? | Jan 10 | $17 | $0 | +0% |