Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:52:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DF 0xdf18…386f crypto 1265 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$333 (-3%) realized −$333 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate56%790W / 630L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day87.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$267
7 days−$290
14 days−$227
30 days−$424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$234
weather 0% +$2
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 -3.3% -12.5% 34% 32% -22.5%
≤30d 827 -8.0% -16.8% 43% 30% -17.3%
≤90d 1420 -0.9% -10.4% 56% 19% -14.1%
all 1420 -0.9% -10.4% 56% 19% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 19% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 16% -22.3%
15% -26.8% 14% -29.8%
20% -34.0% 10% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
65% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses790 / 630
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1420 / 1265
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day87.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1420 Trades
no open positions (333 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 +$2 +2641%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$5 -153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$7 -151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $16 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records