trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 50% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 29 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | May 04 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 23 | $14,813 | −$15 | -0% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in February? | Mar 23 | $321 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 13 | $202 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Jan 24 | $288 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 15 | $236 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Dec 03 | $322 | +$16 | +5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Nov 28 | $660 | +$8 | +1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 13 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Nov 06 | $9 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Sep 22 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Dec 14 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | Sep 24 | $253 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Sep 24 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Sep 23 | $80 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | Sep 23 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House | Sep 22 | $85 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | Sep 22 | $172 | −$2 | -1% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Sep 18 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+ | Sep 16 | $163 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Sep 11 | $25 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? | Sep 11 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Sep 11 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024? | Sep 11 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will People’s Republic of China win the most gold medals at the 2024 P | Sep 11 | $37 | $0 | +0% |