Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:33:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf32…8f62
crypto · 919 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$105 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses785 / 134
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 919
History coverage49d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +10.2% -0.3% 94% 65% -0.7%
≤30d 247 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 59% -10.0%
≤90d 919 +0.9% -8.7% 85% 53% -8.2%
all 919 +0.9% -8.7% 85% 53% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 53% -8.2%
10% -17.5% 27% -17.0%
15% -25.4% 8% -25.0%
20% -32.7% 3% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.00 · official $8.00 (match) · 1728 history records