trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $10 | −$7 | -70% |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals | May 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | May 24 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings | May 23 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 40% | 40% | -11.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -41.9% | -47.5% | 30% | 30% | -73.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -41.9% | -47.5% | 30% | 30% | -73.9% |
| all | 10 | -41.9% | -47.5% | 30% | 30% | -73.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.5% | 30% | -73.9% |
| 10% | -52.5% | 30% | -76.4% |
| 15% | -57.1% | 30% | -78.7% |
| 20% | -61.3% | 20% | -80.8% |