trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 9% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 17 | -1.4% | -10.7% | 12% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of | Jun 29 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $1,346 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,254 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $1,242 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Apr 17 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Apr 17 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 13 | $143 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31? | Apr 01 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Apr 01 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 27 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | Mar 26 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 26 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 20? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i | Mar 20 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $37 | $0 | -0% |